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2007-10-28

Malawi vs. Sweden: Which has better economic incentives?

An excerpt from the book A Farewell to Alms written by Gregory Clark at UC caught my attention. Often newspapers carry articles, indices and rankings that have no meaning behind them. As long as the the African countries lay at the bottom of the pile, all is well and good. This gives room for mainstream media and bloggers to trumpet the woes of the motherland. Data interpretation very much like beauty is often in the eye of the beholder. It takes a bold researcher (with no grant at stake) to admit that the data set does not quite interpret the realities on ground. Often we find researchers tweaking the models to fit the reality. Africa has suffered, unduly from indexes and rankings, because of a dearth in representation in qualitative research. The few researchers available are largely outnumbered by the group that insist on painting Africa black.
Available resarch o Africa's hot topics, such as AID, SME's, Microfinance, is relatively few. Many of the studies available seek to expain the African challenge ex-post. Personally I am not too concerned about academic research and the various interesting findings. I get worried when these findings make it into mainstream media and the hands of non-acedemic policy makers. This folks often aren't aware that many research findings in the social science ought to be interpreted with care and in man cases taken with a pinch of salt. Please enjoy this article, which quite frankly is easy to read and isn't dense in economic jargon.
Here are few facts from the article;

Income per person in Sweden averaged $25,921 (2000 $ PPP) in 2000-2004. Income per person in Malawi in the same period averaged $784.

He took a swipe at the Index of Economic incentives;

Thus the Heritage Foundation, in an index constructed in conjunction with the Wall Street Journal, ranks Sweden as 21st in the world in its index of economic freedom (72.6% free), and Malawi as 104th (55.5% free) out of 157 countries.

And finds that something rather funky was amiss, so he asked a rather poignant question about the objectives of a rankings like this;

But the weightings of the components of the index are chosen with the result in
mind. Had Heritage and the Wall Street Journal produced an index which ranked
economic freedom higher systematically in poor countries, no-one would have
liked the index. This is not a scientific enterprise, it is an ideological one.

Explaining why he thinks this ranking is erroneous, that is, punishing African countries for disincentives to doing business whereas turning a blind eye to similar negative factors in the case of European economies. Which results in an index that interprets perception rather than one which interprets data.

Yet frequently corruption in low income societies is a way of getting round
burdensome bureaucratic requirements. Why should states like those of northern
Europe which impose many arbitrary and vexatious requirements on their citizens
and businesses be further rewarded in the index of economic freedom by the fact
that their soulless bureaucrats are rigid in the enforcement of these
regulations?

A case of double counting;

Similarly having assessed Malawi penalties for its legal systems failure to
follow the formal rule of law (a whopping 50 points), the Freedom Index then
penalizes Malawi a further 41 points under Business Freedom for having a formal
set of requirements on business enterprises that are more onerous than in
Sweden, even though given the weakness of the legal system we have no idea if
any of these rules are applied in practice. The Chinese market traders so
evident across countries like Malawi do not seem to have found the formal
business requirements of the Malawian legal code too much of an obstacle.

And finally he concludes;

This was an index enterprise whose result was known before it was ever begun, and whose underpinning is an economic ideology that assumes that economic freedom must produce economic growth, so that the absence of growth must be found in a restriction of economic freedom.


Update
A reader disagrees with my evaluation;
As far as the logic in this paper, no it's not flawless:

if you check these:
http://www.heritage.org/research/features/index/country.cfm?id=Malawi
http://www.heritage.org/research/features/index/country.cfm?id=Sweden

- The truth is Malawi ranks higher than Sweden in Fiscal Freedom, Labour Freedom, Freedom from Government. So saying that the "flexibility" of the rules is not taken in consideration is quite false. And remember Sweden is not France or Italy, it's quite easy to fire someone there by European standards.
- Clarck defines corruption as payment of bribes to avoid taxes/regulation etc.. Do you feel it's the case in general ? Was that the case when that government official fucked up with your project ?
Clark decides to use a form of corruption that is far more benign than the reality.
- his case for double accounting is weak. Is that the only thing a judicial system does ? enforcing government regulation ? What about settling disputes ? One important part in the Heritage index is Propriety Rights. And those need competent and secure courts to be enforced. Think the effect it has on growth..
- RIGIDITY in the enforcement of regulations IS A GOOD THING. AT least businesses and people are traded equally. No special treatment, no import permits, no wrote off debt, no "no interest" credit for the well-connected. Everybody pays taxes.

5Comment(s):

random Africansaid...

Do you know what the book is about ?`

The page you quoted is just a dishonest part of his argument.
He genuinely believe that Sweden high taxes are as damaging as Malawi's high corruption. He also argues that corruption allows us to go around tedious existing regulation. Is that what "what's in there for me ?" is about ?

And all that, to prove his social darwinist mathusian thesis that says that Europe is more develloped because European are a better stock.

and the finality of his entreprise is this: http://www.nysun.com/article/58787 a weird article that implies that international aid hurts because it reduces mortality.

Omodudusaid...

@Random African, no really I read only this excerpt. If his conclusions are as you have stated them to be. He was outrightly wrong for drawing those conclusions. However turning back to the excerpts I read, the logic looks absolutely perfect to me. Also I understand how the conclusion of the book may cloud the practical interpretation of this excerpts.
I would as usual like to see why the excerpt is wrong. I do understand how many developmental economist just miss Africa totally. Tell me why this excerpt is wrong and as usual if it sounds logical to me, I'd take.
My global objective was to show how rankings in newspapers are useless. Yet bloggers pass them on like its the holy grail. You see what I mean. Thanks once again you make my blogging better with all your criticisms. agh argh

Random Africansaid...

Look, he didnt come to this conclusion from this data, he searched for the data/argument to back his conclusion. I mean he's been writing this book for 5 years, he's been writing papers on his theory for 10 years.

As far as the logic in this paper, no it's not flawless:

if you check these:
http://www.heritage.org/research/features/index/country.cfm?id=Malawi
http://www.heritage.org/research/features/index/country.cfm?id=Sweden

- The truth is Malawi ranks higher than Sweden in Fiscal Freedom, Labour Freedom, Freedom from Government. So saying that the "flexibility" of the rules is not taken in consideration is quite false. And remember Sweden is not France or Italy, it's quite easy to fire someone there by European standards.
- Clarck defines corruption as payment of bribes to avoid taxes/regulation etc.. Do you feel it's the case in general ? Was that the case when that government official fucked up with your project ?
Clark decides to use a form of corruption that is far more benign than the reality.
- his case for double accounting is weak. Is that the only thing a judicial system does ? enforcing government regulation ? What about settling disputes ? One important part in the Heritage index is Propriety Rights. And those need competent and secure courts to be enforced. Think the effect it has on growth..
- RIGIDITY in the enforcement of regulations IS A GOOD THING. AT least businesses and people are traded equally. No special treatment, no import permits, no wrote off debt, no "no interest" credit for the well-connected. Everybody pays taxes.

I could go on, his paper is really dishonest and weak.
And at the end of the day, as much as i disagree with the Heritage Foundation on many issues, their assessment is fair. High taxes are far less damaging than weak propriety rights, limited freedom of trade and generalized corruption.

Omodudusaid...

Upon further review Random african does have a major point and the holes in Mr. clarks conclusion though not apparent at first sort of unfold gradually. I'd have to look for a better report to make the initial point I was trying to make. Thanks Rndom.

Anonymoussaid...

The logic appear okay to me, I do not know what you guys are quarrelling about



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